Where The Oscar Race Is Right Now! Who Is On Top and Who Could Take The Gold!
While there is so much time left before the Oscars the campaigning is in full swing. The field is starting to crystallize, though it’s still early in the race. A few themes to note:
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Several films are rising ahead of the pack for major categories like Best Picture and Best Director, including One Battle After Another, Hamnet and Sinners. WPTZ+4AwardsWatch+4Variety+4
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Actors and performances are also generating early buzz — for example, the contenders list for Best Actor that has been published includes Leonardo DiCaprio and Timothée Chalamet. AwardsWatch
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A more global and diverse field than in past years: foreign-language films and non-traditional genres are getting more traction this cycle. The Washington Post+1
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Timing matters: even though some films premiered or screened at early festivals, the later the release (closer to awards voting) and the longer this “buzz” is maintained, the stronger the chances. AwardsWatch+1
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But: a caveat that many things can still shift — release date changes, campaign strategies, festival receptions, streaming deals, etc., all can influence nominations and wins.

Top 10 Contenders
Here are ten films/performances (in no strict ranking) I’m keeping on my radar for 2026, based on current buzz and trade coverage. Some are heavy hitters, others wild-cards.
| # | Contender | Why it matters / Watch for |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | One Battle After Another (Film) | Frequently listed as the front-runner for Best Picture and Director. AwardsWatch+2Variety+2 |
| 2 | Hamnet (Film) | The emotional drama from a high-profile director, gaining strong festival buzz. The Washington Post+1 |
| 3 | Sinners (Film) | A genre-tilted film (horror/period) that’s breaking into awards conversation — interesting because genre films don’t always get love. WPTZ+2Variety+2 |
| 4 | Sentimental Value (Film) | A multi-language, cross-border project that’s gaining attention — shows the international thrust. AwardsWatch+1 |
| 5 | Timothée Chalamet – Performance in Marty Supreme | Chalamet remains a “go-to” actor for the Academy; this film is emerging as part of his awards run. AwardsWatch+1 |
| 6 | Leonardo DiCaprio – Performance in One Battle After Another | Even a seasoned name like DiCaprio still carries weight; his presence boosts the film’s profile. AwardsWatch+1 |
| 7 | Frankenstein (Film) | Big studio / auteur hybrid (Netflix + high-profile director) — may have the size and pedigree to land major nominations. AwardsWatch |
| 8 | The Secret Agent (Film) | Political thriller from international talent, brings non-US flavour and strong festival buzz. AwardsWatch+1 |
| 9 | Cynthia Erivo – Performance (Film: likely “Wicked: For Good”) | A performance-led contender; in acting races, the story, transformation and name-recognition all help. WPTZ+1 |
| 10 | Bugonia (Film) | A wild-card entry: a riskier project in terms of awards history, but one with strong “buzz” and festival acclaim. The Washington Post+1 |
Final thoughts
We’re still building toward nomination day, and there’s plenty of shake-up ahead. The Top 10 above isn’t set in stone — think of it as the shortlist of films/performances already gathering momentum. Some others will creep in, some may fade.

